2014 World Cup: How the US Can Still Advance

2014 World Cup: How the US Can Still Advance

  • Posted by Drew Epperley
  • On June 23, 2014
  • Germany, Ghana, Group G, Portugal, USMNT

We certainly like to make things hard on ourselves huh? The United States were seconds away from three points against Portugal and a secure spot in the knockout round of the 2014 World Cup but a late header by Portugal meant the US were left with a single point on the night.

Heading into Thursday’s match, the United States are level on points with Germany, albeit with a three-goal deficit on goal differential. A win or draw gets the US into the knockout rounds.

But if a win or a draw do not happen, things get a little bit dicy from there on. Even a defeat against Germany could still allow the United States to progress. Here are all the scenarios if the U.S. loses:

  • If Portugal and Ghana draw, the United States will progress in second place. (best possible chose out of these)
  • If Ghana win, they’d progress if they won by a couple of goals or more, or won by a single goal and the U.S. lost by more than one goal (so say the US lost 1-0 and Ghana won 2-0). If the United States and Ghana ended up level on goal differential, it would come down to who scored the most goals overall. If they were deadlocked still, the United States would progress as they’ve already beaten Ghana in the group stages.
  • If Portugal win, they’d need to overturn an even bigger goal differential deficit to progress ahead of the United States. Their goal differential heading into the final slate of games is minus-4, while the United States’ is plus-1. Portugal would need to win somewhere in the neighborhood of 3-0 or 4-1, with the US losing 2-0 or 3-0.
  • Still deadlocked? They’d end up drawing lots. Let’s hope it doesn’t come down to that.
The chances are still really good for the US here to go through. We never make things easy on ourselves though do we?