- Posted by Drew Epperley
- On September 28, 2010
- 2 Comments
- 2010 Playoff Push
We’re gearing up for the final month of the regular season this week. Yes I know there are some midweek games that are technically in September but let’s go ahead and say we’re in the final month or the home stretch of the 2010 season.
Most teams have four or five games left with a couple more having six. That means there are 12-18 points remaining for these clubs depending on how many games are left. For a couple clubs they only needs three points to clinch their ticket into the post season dance, for others they’ll need all the points they can get to have a chance.
I felt it was worth pointing out each club’s remaining schedule to see exactly how many points they’ll likely end up with here.
Chicago Fire (6 games left – 18 possible points)
The Fire are one of two teams with six remaining games. They have two this week which will pull them level with most of the clubs in the league. Their final three home games come in a row during this six game stretch. Let’s just say they need all 18 points to have a hope here. That would put them at 44 points. But seeing how they’ve played over the last month that likely won’t happen with games in Dallas and at home against Columbus and Kansas City.
Its very possible they’ll be out of contention by the end of the week with a trip to San Jose tomorrow and a trip to Dallas on Saturday.
Likely Outcome: 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses for 7 points.
Chivas USA (five games left – 15 possible points)
The AmeriGoats are a game away from elimination and against their HDC rivals it will likely happen this weekend. They do have two more home games this season after this weekend against Chicago and Toronto so some points are possible there. Road trips to Seattle and San Jose aren’t looking good though.
Likely outcome: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses – 4 points.
Colorado Rapids (5 games left – 15 possible points)
The Rapids aren’t far from a playoff birth here. They likely just need to win two more games to be safe and based on their schedule that’s very possible with their next two games at home against D.C. and Philadelphia. They close out the year with three tough games against LA, Dallas, and RSL. At least that last game of the year against RSL is at home.
Likely Outcome: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss – 8 points
Columbus Crew (4 games left – 12 possible points)
I won’t even mention the two CCL games or the USOC Final that the Crew have here. With the Supporter’s Shield out of reach now in my mind the Crew have to focus on just retaining the top spot in the east over New York. Four games left with two at home and two on the road the Crew should pick up enough points to make it interesting. Philly and San Jose come into town while they have back-t0-back trips against Chicago and Toronto.
Likely Outcome: 2 wins and 2 draws – 8 points.
D.C. United (4 games left – 12 possible points)
D.C. has been out of contention for a while now but for them its all down to pride in their final four games. Two of those four are at RFK and could be winable games to build on for 2011. They have trips to Colorado this weekend and then later to Chicago.
Likely Outcome: 1 win, 3 losses – 3 points.
FC Dallas (4 games left – 12 points)
Obviously one club to watch for is Dallas with their 17-game unbeaten run. The next two are at home while the final two are on the road against RSL and LA. Dallas could have a shot at the league unbeaten record if they get through Chicago and Colorado at home in these next two weeks. If they don’t get healthy before RSL they’ll likely drop their first games since May there.
Likely Outcome: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss – 7 points.
Houston Dynamo (4 games left – 12 possible points)
Weird to think the Dynamo won’t be in the playoffs this year but that’s just the nature of things now in MLS. With their final four they have two on the road and two at home. Road games in Philly and San Jose don’t sound too great but home games against New England and Seattle aren’t any easier either. They’ll still get some points here to battle it out with Chivas USA for that bottom spot out west.
Likely Outcome: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses – 4 points.
Kansas City Wizards (5 games left – 15 possible points)
The Wizards are the one club really with any hope of catching the top eight teams right now. Though with three of their final five on the road it won’t be easy. They’ll need to pick up at least 10 points to have a shot at things but even that may not be enough.
Likely Outcome: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss – 8 points
LA Galaxy (4 games left – 12 possible points)
Can the Galaxy hold off RSL, New York, Dallas and Columbus for the Supporter’s Shield trophy? With three of their final four games all in LA they certainly can. Sure they have two road games but one being against Chivas really doesn’t appear to be fair that LA is in town for the majority of the final month. Still they should be able to do a lot with their final schedule against Chivas, Philly, Colorado and Dallas.
Likely Outcome: 2 wins, 2 draws – 8 points
New England Revolution (4 games left – 12 possible points)
The Revs are another team playing for 2011 now. Their final slate is two at home and two on the road. I honestly don’t like their final slate either, with a vist from RSL coming up along with trips to Houston and New York as well.
Likely Outcome: 1 win, 3 losses – 3 points.
New York Red Bulls (4 games left – 12 possible points)
New York may have the best schedule of any team out there remaining. Three of four at home and all are winable games. The lone road game is in Philly too. It will be interesting to see how they handle their next two against KC and RSL.
Likely Outcome: 3 wins, 1 draw – 10 points.
Philadelphia Union (5 games left – 15 possible points)
Philly isn’t totally out of things yet but don’t be shocked if the playoff hopes dash away after the next game. They pretty much need to win their remaining five games to have a shot at things here which won’t be easy given their schedule. Two tough road games in Colorado and Columbus while hosting three in a row sounds nice it comes against it comes against Houston, LA and New York.
Likely Outcome: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses – 5 points
Real Salt Lake (4 games left – 12 possible points)
The road for RSL isn’t easy with two extra games in there for the Champions League. Only one of those games in league play are at home though which isn’t too kind on this team. And that one home games happens to be against FC Dallas. Ouch. Still RSL is a solid team that will still get results away from Rio Tinto. I think the rough schedule may yield some draws though.
Likely Outcome: 1 win, 3 draws – 6 points.
San Jose Earthquakes (6 games left – 18 possible points)
Boy the Quakes are in a nice spot, with six games left they have a chance to make things real interesting out west if they want to. Three winable home games against Chicago, Chivas and Houston. Three road games in places they can in at in Columbus, D.C. and KC. Look for the Quakes to go into the playoffs looking very good.
Likely Outcome: 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss – 13 points.
Seattle Sounders FC (4 games left – 12 possible points)
Okay the Sounders also have 2 CCL games, a USOC Final and a Friendly packed in with four league games. All 12 points are vital too at this point. Two home games against Toronto and Chivas look like wins while the two road games in KC and Houston could be tough.
Likely Outcome: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss – 7 points
Toronto FC (4 games left – 12 possible points)
The Reds are a game away from sitting out another postseason. With two CCL games left as well the club from the North could just be playing for 2011 now. They have to visit Seattle, Chivas and D.C. while only getting to host one more game against Columbus. Not a pretty way to finish up.
Likely Outcome: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses – 4 points.